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Publications
(* Authorship determined alphabetically; † Undergraduate Coauthor/Mentee)
In Review/Revisions:
32. MacDonald, AJ, D Hyon, S Sambado, K Ring & A Boser. Remote sensing of temperature-dependent mosquito and viral traits predicts field surveillance-based disease risk. Submitted to Ecology.
31. Hopkins, SH, A Hazel, J Pourtois, AJ Chamberlin, Z Gajewski, I Harryman, SH Sokolow, AJ MacDonald, N Nova, A Ahmed, J Andiani, A Emerson, N Febriani, NL Finley, Q Izza, A Miller, I Sartika, K Webb, S Burza, IZ Siregar, Y Setiawan, IJ Jones, ZYC Liu & GA De Leo. Health and livelihood support buffered rural communities and protected rainforests during the COVID-19 pandemic. Submitted to Lancet Planetary Health.
30. Sambado, S, AJ MacDonald, A Swei & CJ Briggs. Climate associated variation in juvenile tick phenology as a plausible mechanism of infection patterns in California. In revisions at Ecosphere.
29. Kain, M, AJ MacDonald, EA Mordecai & L Mandle. Land-use planning for health: Tradeoffs and nonlinearities govern how land-use change impacts vector-borne disease risk. In revisions from Ecological Applications. Online version.
Published:
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28. Skinner, EB, CK Glidden, AJ MacDonald & EA Mordecai, 2023. Human footprint is associated with shifts in assemblages of major vector-borne diseases. Nature Sustainability, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-023-01080-1. Online version.
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27. Sokolow, SH, N Nova, IJ Jones, CL Wood, KD Lafferty, A Garchitorena, SR Hopkins, AJ Lund, AJ MacDonald, C LeBoa, AJ Peel, EA Mordecai, ME Howard, JC Buck, D Lopez-Carr, M Barry, M Bonds & GA De Leo, 2022. Ecological and socioeconomic factors associated with the human burden of environmentally mediated pathogens: a global analysis. The Lancet Planetary Health, 6(11):e870-e879. Online version.
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26. MacDonald, AJ, S McComb & S Sambado, 2022. Linking Lyme disease ecology and epidemiology: reservoir host identity, not richness, determines tick infection and human disease in California. Environmental Research Letters, 17:114041. Online version.
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25. Hopkins, SR, KD Lafferty, CL Wood, SH Olson, JC Buck, M Childs, GA de Leo, KJ Fiorella, J Fornberg, A Garchitorena, IJ Jones, AM Kuris, LH Kwong, C LeBoa, AE Leon, AJ Lund, AJ MacDonald, DCG Metz, N Nova, AJ Peel, JV Remais, TE Stewart Merrill, M Wilson, MH Bonds, AP Dobson, D Lopez Carr, ME Howard, L Mandle & SH Sokolow, 2022. Diversity and evidence gaps among potential win–win solutions for conservation and human infectious disease control. The Lancet Planetary Health, 6(8):e694-e705. Online version.
*Check out the case study website associated with this paper here! |
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24. Hopkins, SR, IJ Jones, JC Buck, C Leboa, LH Kwong, K Jacobsen, C Rickards, AJ Lund, N Nova, AJ MacDonald, M Lambert-Peck, G De Leo & SH Sokolow, 2022. Environmental persistence of the world's most burdensome infectious and parasitic diseases. Frontiers in Public Health, 10:892366. Online version.
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23. Boser, A, D Sousa, AE Larsen & AJ MacDonald, 2021. Micro-climate to macro-risk: Mapping fine scale differences in mosquito-borne disease risk using remote sensing. Environmental Research Letters, 16:124014. Online version.
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22. MacDonald, AJ & EA Mordecai, 2021. Response to Valle and Zorello Laporta: Clarifying the use of instrumental variable methods to understand the effects of environmental change on infectious disease transmission. American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 105(6):1456-1459. Online version.
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21. Athni, TS, MS Shocket, L Couper, N Nova, IR Caldwell, JM Caldwell, JN Childress, ML Childs, GA De Leo, D Kirk, AJ MacDonald, K Olivarius, DG Pickel, S Roberts, OC Winokur, HS Young, J Cheng, EA Grant, PM Kurzner, S Kyaw, BJ Lin, RC Lopez, DS Massihpour, EC Olsen, M Roache, A Ruiz, EA Schultz, M Shafat, RL Spencer, N Bharti & EA Mordecai, 2021. The influence of vector-borne disease on human history: socio-ecological mechanisms. Ecology Letters, 24(4):829-846. Online version.
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20. Nova, N, ER Deyle, MS Shocket, AJ MacDonald, ML Childs, M Rypdal, G Sugihara and EA Mordecai, 2021. Susceptible host availability modulates climate effects on dengue dynamics. Ecology Letters, 24(3): 415-425. Online version.
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19. Couper, LI, AJ MacDonald & EA Mordecai, 2021. Impact of prior and projected climate change on US Lyme disease incidence. Global Change Biology, 27(4):738-754. Online version.
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18. Hopkins, SR, SH Sokolow, GA De Leo, JC Buck, IJ Jones, L Kwong, C LeBoa, AJ Lund, AJ MacDonald, N Nova, SH Olson, AJ Peel, CL Wood & KD Lafferty, 2021. How to identify win—win interventions that benefit human health and conservation. Nature Sustainability, 4:298-304. Online version.
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17. Jones, IJ, AJ MacDonald, S Hopkins, A Lund, Z Yung-Chun Liu, NI Fawzi, MP Purba, K Fankhauser, M Nirmala, AG Blundell, A Emerson, J Jennings, L Gaffikin, M Barry, D Lopez-Carr, K Webb, GA De Leo & SH Sokolow, 2020. Improving rural health care reduces illegal logging and conserves carbon in a tropical forest. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 117(45):28515-28524. Online version.
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16. MacDonald, AJ, S McComb, C O'Neill, KA Padgett & AE Larsen, 2020. Projected climate and land use change alter western blacklegged tick phenology, seasonal host-seeking suitability and human encounter risk in California. Global Change Biology, 26:5459-5474. Online version.
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15. Small, C, AJ MacDonald & D Sousa. Spatial network connectivity of population and development in the USA: Implications for disease transmission. arXiv, arXiv:2004.14237. Online version. **Pre-print published online, April 2020, for rapid dissemination of data pertinent to epidemiologic modeling of COVID-19 in the USA (supported by NSF EAGER #2032276).
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14. MacDonald, AJ, SB Weinstein, KE O’Connor & A Swei, 2020. Circulation of tick-borne spirochetes in tick and small mammal communities in Santa Barbara County, California, USA. Journal of Medical Entomology, 57(4):1293-1300. Online version.
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13. Larsen, AE, DN Farrant & AJ MacDonald, 2020. Spatiotemporal overlap of pesticide use and species richness hotspots in California. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 289(2020):106741. Online version.
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12. Vandermeer, J, I Armbrecht, A de la Mora, KK Ennis, DJ Gonthier, Z Hajian-Forooshani, H-Y Hsieh, A Iverson, D Jackson, S Jha, E Jiménez-Soto, G Lopez-Bautista, A Larsen, K Li, H Liere, AJ MacDonald, L Marin, KA Mathis, I Monagan, J Morris, T Ong, GL Pardee, IS Rivera, K Williams-Guillen, S Yitbarek, S Uno, A Zemenick, SM Philpott and I Perfecto, 2019. The community ecology of herbivore regulation in an agroecosystem: Lessons from complex systems. BioScience, 69(12):974-996. Online version.
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11. MacDonald, AJ, & EA Mordecai, 2019. Amazon deforestation drives malaria transmission, and malaria burden reduces forest clearing. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 116(44):22212-22218. Online version.
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10. MacDonald, AJ, C O’Neill, MH Yoshimizu, KA Padgett & AE Larsen, 2019. Tracking seasonal activity of the western blacklegged tick across California. Journal of Applied Ecology, 56:2562-2573. Online version.
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9. MacDonald, AJ, AE Larsen, & AJ Plantinga, 2019. Missing the people for the trees: Identifying coupled natural-human system feedbacks driving the ecology of Lyme disease. Journal of Applied Ecology, 56:354-364. Online version.
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8. MacDonald, AJ, 2018. Abiotic and habitat drivers of tick vector abundance, diversity, phenology and human encounter risk in southern California. PLOS One, 13(7):e0201665. Online version.
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7. Anderson S, R Bart, M Kennedy, AJ MacDonald, M Moritz, AJ Plantinga, C Tague & M Wibbenmeyer, 2018. The dangers of disaster-driven responses to climate change. Nature Climate Change, 8:651-653. Online version.
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6. MacDonald, AJ, DW Hyon†, A McDaniels†, KE O’Connor, A Swei, & CJ Briggs, 2018. Risk of vector tick exposure initially increases then declines through time in response to wildfire in California. Ecosphere, 9(5):e02227. Online version.
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5. MacDonald, AJ, DW Hyon†, JB Brewington III†, KE O’Connor, A Swei, & CJ Briggs, 2017. Lyme disease risk in southern California: abiotic and environmental drivers of Ixodes pacificus (Acari: Ixodidae) density and infection prevalence with Borrelia burgdorferi. Parasites & Vectors, 10:7. Online version.
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4. MacDonald, AJ, & CJ Briggs, 2016. Truncated seasonal activity patterns of the western blacklegged tick (Ixodes pacificus) in central and southern California. Ticks and Tick-Borne Diseases, 7: 234-242. Online version.
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3. Larsen, AE, BT Hendrickson†, N Dedeic†, & AJ MacDonald, 2015. Taken as a given: Evaluating the accuracy of remotely sensed crop data. Agricultural Systems, 141: 121-125. Online version.
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2. *Larsen AE, *AJ MacDonald, & *AJ Plantinga, 2014. Lyme disease risk influences human settlement in the wildland-urban interface: Evidence from a longitudinal analysis of counties in the northeastern United States. American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 91(4): 747-755. Online version.
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1. MacDonald AJ, D Jackson, & K Zemenick†, 2013. Indirect effects of a fungal entomopathogen, Lecanicillium lecanii (Hypocreales: Clavicipitaceae), on a coffee agroecosystem ant community. Environmental Entomology, 42(4): 658-667. Online version.
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Book Chapters:
1. Shocket, MS, CB Anderson, JM Caldwell, ML Childs, LI Couper, S Han, M Harris, ME Howard, MP Kain, AJ MacDonald, N Nova & EA Mordecai, 2021. Environmental drivers of vector-borne disease. In Population biology of vector-borne diseases, Oxford University Press. Online version.
Data:
3. MacDonald AJ, O'Neill C, Yoshimizu MH, Padgett KA, Larsen AE (2019) Data from: Tracking seasonal activity of the western blacklegged tick across California. Dryad Digital Repository, https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.8769t44
2. MacDonald AJ (2019) Data from: Abiotic and habitat drivers of tick vector abundance, diversity, phenology and human encounter risk in southern California. Dryad Digital Repository. https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.6g33308
1. MacDonald AJ, Larsen AE, Plantinga AJ (2018) Data from: Missing the people for the trees: identifying coupled natural-human system feedbacks driving the ecology of Lyme disease. Dryad Digital Repository. https://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.p7t9289
Presentations:
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21. MacDonald AJ & EA Mordecai. “Amazon deforestation drives malaria transmission, and malaria burden reduces forest clearing.” Planetary Health Alliance Annual Meeting, September 2019. Online abstract.
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20. Sokolow SH, IJ Jones, CL Wood, KD Lafferty, A Garchitorena, S Hopkins, M Boslough, L Marom, A Lund, AJ MacDonald, M Howard, N Nova, C Le Boa, A Peel, E Mordecai, A Chamberlin, M Barry, M Bonds & GA De Leo. “More than one third of global human infectious disease burden is environmentally mediated, with disproportionate effects in rural poor areas.” Planetary Health Alliance Annual Meeting, September 2019.
19. Sokolow SH, SR Hopkins, N Nova, A Lund, IJ Jones, AJ MacDonald, L Kwong, ME Howard, GA De Leo & KD Lafferty. “Ecological levers for health: Bright spots and knowledge gaps revealed by a quantitative literature review” Ecological Society of America Annual Meeting, August 2019.
18. Hopkins SR, C Wood, S Olson, J Buck, M Childs, GA De Leo, A Dobson, J Fornberg, A Garchitorena, M Howard, IJ Jones, A Kuris, L Kwong, C LeBoa, A Leon, A Lund, AJ MacDonald, D Metz, N Nova, AJ Peel, J Remais, S Sokolow, T Stewart, M Wilson, M Bonds, K Fiorella, L Mandle, H Tallis & KD Lafferty. “Case studies on the win—win menu: which interventions work to both reduce human infectious disease and conserve nature?” Ecological Society of America Annual Meeting, August 2019.
17. MacDonald AJ & EA Mordecai. “Amazon deforestation drives malaria transmission, and malaria burden reduces forest clearing.” 10th World Congress of the International Association for Landscape Ecology, July 2019.
16. MacDonald AJ & EA Mordecai. “Deforestation drives malaria transmission, and malaria burden reduces forest clearing in the Brazilian Amazon.” Ecology and Evolution of Infectious Diseases Annual Meeting, June 2019.
15. Hopkins SR, C Wood, S Olson, J Buck, M Childs, GA De Leo, A Dobson, J Fornberg, A Garchitorena, M Howard, IJ Jones, A Kuris, L Kwong, C LeBoa, A Leon, A Lund, AJ MacDonald, D Metz, N Nova, AJ Peel, J Remais, S Sokolow, T Stewart, M Wilson, M Bonds, K Fiorella, L Mandle, H Tallis & KD Lafferty. “Interventions on the Planetary Health menu: examples, evidence and evaluation.” Ecology and Evolution of Infectious Diseases Annual Meeting, June 2019.
14. MacDonald AJ. "Land use transitions: A cause and consequence of infectious disease outbreaks" National Socio-Environmental Synthesis Center, Boundary Spanning Symposium, June 2018.
13. MacDonald AJ, D Hyon†, A McDaniels†, KE O’Connor, A Swei & CJ Briggs. “Wildfire disturbance initially increases Lyme disease risk in California, yet dampens disease risk through time” Ecological Society of America Annual Meeting, August 2017.
12. MacDonald AJ, AE Larsen & AJ Plantinga. “Missing the people for the trees: Elucidating the role of human behavior in the ecology of Lyme disease” Ecology and Evolution of Infectious Diseases Annual Meeting, June 2017.
11. Nova N, M Shocket, AJ MacDonald, M Childs, M Rypdal, G Sugihara & E Mordecai. “Environmental factors driving dengue incidence in Central and South America” Ecology and Evolution of Infectious Diseases Annual Meeting, June 2017.
10. MacDonald AJ & CJ Briggs. “Seasonal activity of the western blacklegged tick (Ixodes pacificus) and human Lyme disease risk in southern California” Ecological Society of America Annual Meeting, August 2015.
9. MacDonald AJ & CJ Briggs. “Truncated seasonal activity patterns of the western blacklegged tick (Ixodes pacificus) in central and southern California” Ecology and Evolution of Infectious Diseases Annual Meeting, May 2015.
8. MacDonald AJ. “Tick community composition and Lyme infection prevalence of western blacklegged Ticks (Ixodes pacificus) in coastal and inland southern California” Ecological Society of America Annual Meeting, August 2013.
7. MacDonald AJ & CJ Briggs. “Biodiversity and disease risk: Investigating the impact of diversity across scales in the Lyme disease system of California.” UCSB Natural Reserve System Conference, 2/8/2013.
6. Gosnell JS, KL Roth, SH Uriostegui, AJ MacDonald, BE Kendall, CC Wilmers, JW Duffield, & PJ Seddon. “Where motivations, metrics, and milestones meet: A comprehensive framework for assessing and planning reintroductions” Ecological Society of America Annual Meeting, August 2012.
5. MacDonald AJ & AE Larsen. “What predicts dominant ant foraging in a coffee agroecosystem? Insights from regression analysis.” Ecological Society of America Annual Meeting, August 2011.
4. Larsen AE & AJ MacDonald. “Non-consumptive effects maintain coexistence of a weaker competitor on a shared resource.” Ecological Society of America Annual Meeting, August 2011.
3. MacDonald AJ & DW Jackson. "Cascading effects of biotic disturbance and foraging refugia: Maintenance of diversity and function in an arboreal ant community." Ecological Society of America Annual Meeting, August 2010.
2. Jackson DW & AJ MacDonald. “A mechanism of spatial self organization: Shifts in foraging activity of an arboreal ant, Azteca instabilis, as a result of attack on its mutualistic partner by the fungus Lecanicillium lecanii.” Ecological Society of America Annual Meeting, August 2010.
1. MacDonald AJ. “The role of ant biodiversity, temporal, and spatial foraging dynamics in maintaining a system of biological control in an organic coffee agroecosystem in Chiapas, Mexico.” Entomological Society of America Annual Meeting, December 2009.
